It’s a wild assumption, but one very likely case is Yemen
For those who quite don’t know,
the situation in Yemen is like this
The green region is under Houthi
control (backed by Iranians), the light red is controlled by Hadi
government (backed by Saudi Arabia, UAE and Bahrain and even USA), the
yellow is the Southern Transitional Council (a movement that wants
South Yemen to come back as it existed prior to 1991), and the white is al-Qaeda
in Arabian Peninsula, also called AQAP
Now one would expect either of
the sides to fall, however seeing the way each one is sticking to their
captured lands, it looks that another division of Yemen may actually happen. If
the AQAP could be vanquished, then the country would end up with three separate
authorities, leaving the whole field very much open for a possible trifurcation.
It’s quite possible that the Southern Council could get vanquished too, if that
happens then a bifurcation would happen, leading to once again a North and
South Yemen to emerge.
The difference would be that unlike the previous versions where North Yemen was an independent Arab Republic and South Yemen was a communist state, this time North Yemen would be an Iran-backed client state whereas South Yemen would be a Saudi-UAE backed client state.
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